Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.001626 0.001798 0.001968 0.002150 0.002339 0.002528 0.002732
2025-09-28 0.001429 0.001685 0.001945 0.002228 0.002527 0.002831 0.003164
2025-10-05 0.001235 0.001553 0.001886 0.002254 0.002649 0.003057 0.003507
2025-10-12 0.001074 0.001444 0.001838 0.002283 0.002766 0.003270 0.003833
2025-10-19 0.000914 0.001321 0.001766 0.002277 0.002839 0.003432 0.004098
2025-10-26 0.000773 0.001208 0.001696 0.002266 0.002900 0.003575 0.004340
2025-11-02 0.000648 0.001104 0.001628 0.002250 0.002952 0.003704 0.004562
2025-11-09 0.000544 0.001016 0.001572 0.002244 0.003009 0.003836 0.004784
2025-11-16 0.000458 0.000941 0.001528 0.002246 0.003072 0.003971 0.005006
2025-11-23 0.000383 0.000875 0.001488 0.002250 0.003134 0.004102 0.005221
2025-11-30 0.000348 0.000858 0.001507 0.002320 0.003270 0.004313 0.005524
2025-12-07 0.000284 0.000795 0.001464 0.002315 0.003317 0.004424 0.005713
2025-12-14 0.000229 0.000751 0.001460 0.002375 0.003463 0.004672 0.006084
2025-12-21 0.000179 0.000709 0.001457 0.002439 0.003615 0.004928 0.006469
2025-12-28 0.000121 0.000642 0.001417 0.002455 0.003710 0.005122 0.006785
2026-01-04 0.000076 0.000583 0.001384 0.002477 0.003812 0.005322 0.007108
2026-01-11 0.000034 0.000511 0.001327 0.002466 0.003873 0.005474 0.007376
2026-01-18 0.000008 0.000443 0.001270 0.002451 0.003927 0.005616 0.007630
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000380 0.001213 0.002434 0.003975 0.005749 0.007873
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000327 0.001166 0.002426 0.004032 0.005892 0.008126
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000282 0.001128 0.002427 0.004099 0.006044 0.008387
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000242 0.001093 0.002430 0.004167 0.006196 0.008647
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000232 0.001109 0.002503 0.004319 0.006446 0.009018